Good question, and there's a lot of confusion about this right now. Let me clarify the current state of things.
Current System (FY2027): As of now, the H-1B lottery is still a random selection process. USCIS has not finalized any rule that would switch to a wage-based prioritization system for FY2027 registrations. The registration period is expected to open in March 2026 with the same beneficiary-centric selection process that was implemented in FY2025.
Proposed Wage-Based Changes: There has been a proposed rule (originally from the prior administration) that would prioritize H-1B selections based on wage levels, giving preference to Level 3 and Level 4 wages over Level 1 and Level 2. However, this rule has gone through multiple comment periods and has not been finalized. Even if finalized, it would likely not take effect until FY2028 at the earliest due to implementation timelines.
What HAS Changed: The beneficiary-centric selection system is in effect, meaning USCIS selects by unique beneficiary rather than by registration, which eliminated the advantage of having multiple employers submit registrations for the same person. USCIS has also cracked down on fraud related to multiple registrations.
For information on the broader H-1B reform landscape, see /Trump/H1B-Reform/.
At Level 2 wages, you should be fine under the current random lottery. Your odds are the same as everyone else's. If a wage-based system is ever implemented, Level 2 would be in the middle tier — not the worst position, but not the strongest either.